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Case Study
TOYOTA AUSTRALIA IN PERIL
On Wednesday, December 11, 2013, General Motors Holden (Holden) announced
its plan to exit car manufacturing in Australia by the end of 2017.
Immediately after the exit announcement by Holden, Toyota
expressed its fear that it was in peril:
This will place unprecedented pressure on the local supplier
network and our ability to build cars in Australia. We will now work with our
suppliers, key stakeholders and the government to determine our next steps and
whether we can continue operating as the sole vehicle manufacturer in
Australia. We will continue with our transformation journey as planned.
Other stakeholders in the automotive industry also expressed
similar fears. Apprehensive of Toyota’s ability to continue manufacturing, the
Australian Manufacturing Workers Union (AMWU) national vehicles division
secretary, Dave Smith, said, “It’s now highly likely that Toyota will leave
Australia. In fact it’s almost certain.”
Why did Toyota fear that Holden’s exit would put unprecedented
pressure on the local suppliers? How was Holden’s exit related to Toyota’s
ability to build cars? Why were observers contemplating an exit by Toyota, the
best-selling and most trusted brand in Australia, especially when it had been
planning to continue its transformation journey? What had gone wrong with the
company that had such a glorious long history of production? Should Toyota stop
manufacturing in Australia?
TOYOTA AUSTRALIA: A GLORIOUS LONG
HISTORY OF PRODUCTION5
Toyota Australia (Toyota; see Exhibit 1), a subsidiary of Toyota
Motor Corporation Japan, was founded in 1958 in Port Melbourne, Victoria,
Australia. It started assembling vehicles in Australia in 1963 in the Melbourne
factory of Australian Motor Industries. The first Toyota model assembled in
Australia was the Tiara. Between 1964 and 1968, Toyota began assembling three
more models —the Corona, the Crown and the Corolla. At its new Altona plant in
Melbourne, it started producing engines in 1978, and car body panels in 1981.
In 1986, for the first time, Toyota started exporting. In 1987, Toyota began
the local
manufacture of the Camry, which replaced the Corona, at the
Melbourne plant. In 1988, Toyota’s local operations were unified to form Toyota
Motor Corporation Australia.
In 1994/95, Toyota stopped manufacturing in its Port Melbourne
plant and shifted all its operation to its Altona plant in Melbourne. The
Corolla was the first model to be built there. As a strategic shift, in 1996,
Toyota expanded its reach to foreign markets by exporting the Camry to the
Middle East, where it became the area’s number-one selling car. From the Altona
plant, Toyota also started producing the Avalon model in 2000. Its journey with
innovative products continued in the subsequent period. In 2010, it released
the Camry hybrid, the first hybrid car manufactured in Australia. It launched
the New Generation Camry Model in 2011.
Toyota emerged as the market leader in Australia for the first
time in 1991. It registered record sales of more than 186,000 cars in 2003 and
remained the overall market leader for the subsequent 11 years (see Exhibit 2
and Exhibit 3). The company also registered a huge success in the export
market, and emerged as the leader in this segment. It exported almost
two-thirds of its production (see Exhibit 4) from the Altona plant to 13
countries worldwide. In 2011, Toyota Australia, the country’s biggest
automotive exporter, exported nearly 60,000 units worth $1.004 billion6
(including parts and accessories).
As per a poll conducted by Readers’ Digest Australia in 2013,
Toyota was the most trusted automotive brand in Australia. A balanced business
model and innovative quality products were the keys to Toyota’s past success
and had helped to build its brand.
BUSINESS MODEL
Toyota Australia followed a balanced business model (see Exhibit
5), which included a three-pronged strategy
of manufacturing vehicles
domestically, exporting some
of its domestically
manufactured vehicles and importing some components from cheaper
sources.
In the domestic manufacturing process, Toyota followed the “just
in time” approach to production, which allowed the entire production process to
be regulated by the natural laws of supply and demand. Customer demand
stimulated production of a vehicle, which, in turn, stimulated production and
delivery of the necessary parts. The just in time approach resulted in the
right parts and materials manufactured and provided in the exact amount and
place where they were needed. Along with the just in time approach, Toyota also
followed “Kaizen,” the
practice represented by
employees making day-to-day improvements in their working
practices and equipment. “Jidoka,” automation with a human touch, was another
process adopted by Toyota. Such approaches to the domestic manufacturing
process strengthened Toyota’s brand image by contributing to Australian society
in terms of value-addition and employment, and good quality products, and
supported its position as the market leader.
However, Australia’s domestic market for cars was very thin. To
overcome the constraint imposed by domestic demand, Toyota pursued an
export-oriented strategy. As a part of this strategy, it started exporting
domestically manufactured vehicles to neighbouring New Zealand in 1986. In
1996, it further expanded its export reach by starting to export to Middle East
countries, and in the subsequent period, began exporting to the South Pacific
Islands, Malaysia and Thailand. Toyota’s export-oriented strategy provided a
larger demand base, which helped Toyota, to some extent, to overcome the
constraints imposed by the lower domestic demand. Exports constituted almost 70
per cent of Toyota’s total production (see Exhibit 4).Similar to other car
manufacturers, Toyota Australia operated with a small scale of operation. This
lack of scale at the car manufacturing stage affected even local auto component
manufacturers, by keeping their costs higher. Importing cheaper inputs helped
Toyota to manage the costs of components. This business model had made Toyota
the most successful car brand in Australia.
ADVERSE EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT
Toyota, along with other players in the automotive sector,
operated in a growingly adverse environment.
Competitive Fragmented Market Structure
In 2013, apart from Toyota, Australia had two car manufacturers:
Ford Motor Company of Australia (Ford) and General Motors Holden (Holden). Like
Toyota, these manufacturers were foreign-owned subsidiaries of global companies
that had affiliates in many countries. But, for Toyota, competition was not
limited to these domestic manufacturers.
Australia’s low-tariff barriers and highly open trading
environment since mid-1980s provided consumers with easy access to imported
cars. Approximately 65 brands and 365 models — comprising passenger vehicles,
sport utility vehicles and light commercial vehicles — competed for Australia’s
total market of approximately 1.1 million new car sales per year, making the
Australian automotive market both highly competitive and the most fragmented in
the world.
Structural Changes and Declining
Demand
Australia, with a population of 23.1 million, representing 0.33
per cent of total world population in 2013, represented a small market for
cars. In the same year, Australia’s new vehicles’ sales accounted for just 1.3
per cent of the total global market.
In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, demand for automobiles
in developed countries remained subdued due to slow recovery and shifted to
emerging markets such as China, India and Brazil. Not only were there
structural changes in the geographical distribution of demand but also changes
in the composition of demand, in favour of small fuel-efficient cars, which was counter to the types of cars
manufactured by Toyota.
Small Scale of Operations,
Underutilization of Capacity and Higher Cost of Manufacturing
Australia was also a very small player in the global automotive
production sphere. It produced just more than 200,000 units of passenger and
commercial vehicles, which accounted for approximately 0.25 per cent of global
production. Together, the three Australian auto manufacturers produced well
below the global optimal scale of operation, which was estimated to be 200,000
to 300,000 units of vehicle per year.
Toyota, the largest Australian manufacturer, with an annual installed
capacity of 150,000 units produced just more than 100,000 vehicles in 2012. In
the same year, Holden produced just more than 80,000 vehicle units and Ford,
fewer than 40,000 units. The small scale of production kept the average cost of
production of vehicles in Australia at a higher level and led to an adverse
impact on the scale at which the component manufacturers operated in Australia
and the cost at which they could supply the components.In addition to the lack
of scale economies, the higher labour costs and other costs, such as the carbon
tax and the luxury car tax, contributed to the high cost of manufacturing cars
in Australia.
Government Policies and Declining
Protection
The Australian government had been following liberal trade
policies since the mid-1980s. As a part of the opening-up strategy,
quantitative restrictions were phased out and were completely eliminated by
1988. At the same time, tariffs were brought down to 5 per cent by 2010.
Though, to help the automotive industry to adjust to the declining tariff
levels, the government provided direct assistance to the manufacturers, it was
linked to investment and to research and development expenditure. Gradually, more and more government
assistance was redirected from the assembly of cars, the least competitive
activity, to exports, the most competitive activity.
Free Trade Agreements and Unbalanced
Trading Environment
To improve the trade and capital flows, Australia had signed
various free trade agreements (FTAs), such as the Thailand–Australia FTA, the
Association of South East Asian Nations-Australia-New Zealand FTA and the
Australia-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) FTA. Although the FTAs were expected
to result in a win-win situation for all the countries involved, the FTAs
signed by Australia with countries such as Thailand, Japan and South Korea, had
turned out to be bad news for the Australian car industry. The partner countries had either retained
high tariff rates on imported cars or used subtle methods to keep the imported
cars out of their domestic markets. For example, although Thailand did not
impose import tariffs on Australian cars, it did impose an engine-size duty
that was as high as 80 per cent, which discouraged the importation of the
Australian cars. Japan not only imposed a 10 per cent tariff and a 5 per cent
consumer tax on imported cars but also imposed several technical
specifications, which made it almost impossible to gain regulatory approval for
foreign-made cars. Similarly, in South Korea, Australian cars faced a 10 per
cent tariff and a clumsy registration process, which deterred exporting.
Adverse Currency Developments
Since 2001, the dramatic strengthening of the Australian dollar
against the U.S. dollar (see Exhibit 6) had significantly reduced the
profitability of Toyota Australia’s exports, which were primarily to the GCC
countries and were committed in U.S. dollars.
In a highly
open globalized economy,
these various high-cost
and low-demand factors,
various government policies and other external developments affected the
viability of Toyota Australia (e.g., the company reported losses of $32.6
billion in 2011/12) and compelled it to revisit its manufacturing and marketing
strategies.
TOYOTA’S EFFORTS TO COUNTER ADVERSE
EXTERNAL DEVELOPMENTS
Toyota Australia practiced the philosophy of steady
improvement in productivity
and continuous reduction in cost,
as envisioned in the Toyota Production System. However, the realization of the
gravity of the problem, in the event of sharp adverse developments in the
external environment in the late 2011, necessitated bold steps and urgent
actions, to substantially improve productivity and reduce costs, in an effort
to retain Toyota’s competitiveness in the domestic and international markets.
Accordingly, to counteract the impact of adverse external
developments, for the period 2012 to 2018, Toyota implemented a company-wide
transformation project, referred to as the Toyota Australia Future Business
Transformation. The project aimed to improve efficiency, to reduce the cost of
manufacturing cars by $3,800 per car, to improve organizational and
manufacturing efficiencies and to maximize sales of the domestically built
Camry and Aurion models. The project adopted both internal and external cost-
reduction strategies. It addressed its internal costs in early 2012, by
reducing its workforce by 350 employees in the Altona plant, which had become
redundant in the downturn in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis, the
Japanese earthquake and subsequent tsunami, and the floods in Thailand.
External costs were addressed by reviewing the sourcing of imported components
and vehicles, and the local supplier capability development and
diversification.
The project introduced a radical transformation to the business
practices of Toyota Australia. As stated by the company’s chief executive officer
(CEO), Max Yasuda, “Our business is being radically changed to counter both
internal and external pressures impacting us. We are doing everything we can to
strengthen Toyota Australia and ensure our long term future in this country as
an importer and manufacturer.”
In the subsequent period, the company also tried to further reduce
its labour costs by proposing a reduction in overtime payments on work done on
Sundays from 2.5 times of the base hourly wage to just 2 times; eliminating
allowances such as the $0.71 per hour respiratory allowance paid to paint shop
workers and the “dirt money” allowance for performing work considered to be
dirty or offensive; eliminating the eight-hour day for maintenance workers and
including Saturday shifts as part of the normal hours of work. The company CEO
Yasuda tried to justify the proposed measures by indicating that the company
would be able to gain approval for further investment at the Altona plant,
necessary to maintain production of the Camry model, only if production costs
were slashed by $3,800 per vehicle by 2018. But, under the strong protest from
the AMWU, which blocked the vote from proceeding by taking the issue to the
Australia’s Federal Court, it failed to garner the required support from its
workers.
EXHIBIT 1: TOYOTA AUSTRALIA’S KEY CONTRIBUTIONS
Aspect |
Contribution |
Total Employment |
4,200 direct employees |
Manufacturing Employment |
2,500 manufacturing employees |
Vehicles Produced (2012) |
101,424 (46% of Australian vehicle production) |
Vehicles Exported
(2012) |
74,335 (73% of production) |
Vehicle Production Planned
(2013) |
108,000 units: This includes four cylinder
petrol and hybrid engines produced for local built cars
as well as engine exports
to Malaysia and Thailand commencing January 2013 |
Government Support vis-a-vis Toyota Spending |
Toyota spends at least $20 in connection with manufacturing in Australia for every $1 of government support. The
spending is mainly for purchasing local parts from suppliers across Victoria,
South Australia,
New
South Wales
and Queensland. During
2013 Toyota spent $1.5 billion in connection with building cars in Australia. |
Source: Compiled from Toyota Australia, Initial Submission to Productivity Commission Review of the Automotive
Manufacturing Industry, www.pc.gov.au/ data/assets/pdf_file/0011/130124/sub031-automotive.pdf, accessed September 20,
2014.
EXHIBIT
2: TOP-SELLING CAR BRANDS IN AUSTRALIA, 2012–2013
Rank |
Brand |
2013 |
2012 |
1 |
Toyota |
214,630 |
218,176 |
2 |
Holden |
112,059 |
114,665 |
3 |
Mazda |
103,144 |
103,886 |
4 |
Hyundai |
97,006 |
91,536 |
5 |
Ford |
87,236 |
90,408 |
6 |
Nissan |
76,733 |
79,747 |
7 |
Mitsubishi |
71,528 |
58,868 |
8 |
Volkswagen |
54,892 |
54,835 |
9 |
Subaru |
40,200 |
40,189 |
10 |
Honda |
39,258 |
35,812 |
Source: VFACTS, Vehicle Sales, Federal Chamber
of Automotive Industries, www.fcai.com.au/sales/2013-new-vehicle- market, accessed
April 1, 2015.
EXHIBIT
3: AUTOMOBILE MANUFACTURERS’ AUSTRALIANMARKET SHARE BY BRAND (IN PER CENT),
1998–2012
Brand |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
Toyota |
19.6 |
19.5 |
20.2 |
18.3 |
19.2 |
20.5 |
21.1 |
20.5 |
22.2 |
22.5 |
23.6 |
21.4 |
20.7 |
18 |
19.6 |
Holden |
19 |
19.7 |
19.7 |
21.4 |
21.6 |
19.3 |
18.6 |
17.7 |
15.2 |
14 |
12.9 |
12.8 |
12.8 |
12.5 |
10.3 |
Mazda |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
7.4 |
7.9 |
8.3 |
8.2 |
8.8 |
9.3 |
Hyundai |
7.1 |
6 |
5.8 |
5.2 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
6.7 |
7.7 |
8.6 |
8.2 |
Ford |
15.9 |
16.1 |
14.5 |
13.8 |
13.2 |
13.9 |
14.2 |
13.1 |
11.9 |
10.3 |
10.3 |
10.3 |
9.2 |
9 |
8.1 |
Nissan |
5.7 |
6.2 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
5.7 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
6.7 |
7.2 |
Mitsubishi |
10.4 |
8.9 |
9.3 |
8.8 |
8.2 |
8 |
6 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
6.2 |
6 |
6.1 |
6 |
6.1 |
5.3 |
Other |
18.9 |
20.2 |
21.2 |
22.5 |
22.9 |
22.7 |
23.1 |
25.6 |
28.2 |
29.1 |
28.9 |
28.8 |
29.3 |
30.3 |
32 |
Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
Source:
VFACTS, Retail Sales, Key Automotive
Statistics 2012, Australian Government, Department of Industry, www.industry.gov.au/industry/automotive/Statistics/Documents/KeyAutomotiveStatistics2012.pdf, accessed September
20, 2014.
EXHIBIT 4:
AUSTRALIAN AUTOMOBILE MARKET AND TOYOTA’S STATISTICS, 2006–2012
|
|
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
Market |
Total Market |
962,521 |
1,049,982 |
1,012,164 |
937,328 |
1,035,574 |
1,008,437 |
1,112,032 |
Locally Made Share of Total Market |
21% |
19% |
17% |
16% |
14% |
14% |
13% |
|
Toyota Sales (incl. Lexus) |
213,839 |
236,647 |
245,653 |
206,827 |
214,718 |
181,624 |
218,176 |
|
Toyota |
Locally Made Domestic Sales |
33,000 |
48,372 |
42,629 |
34,756 |
36,778 |
28,084 |
36,304 |
Exports |
80,000 |
97,688 |
101,668 |
63,345 |
82,670 |
59,949 |
74,335 |
|
Production |
111,610 |
148,931 |
141,467 |
96,817 |
119,455 |
93,618 |
101,424 |
Source: Toyota Australia,
Initial Submission to Productivity Commission Review of the Automotive
Manufacturing Industry, www.pc.gov.au/ data/assets/pdf_file/0011/130124/sub031-automotive.pdf, accessed September 20, 2014.
EXHIBIT 5: TOYOTA BUSINESS MODEL
Source: Author’s own
construct based on Toyota Australia, Initial Submission to Productivity
Commission Review of the Automotive Manufacturing Industry, www.pc.gov.au/
data/assets/pdf_file/0011/130124/sub031-automotive.pdf, accessed
September 20, 2014.
EXHIBIT
6: EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENT DURING TOYOTA AUSTRALIA’S EXPORT PROGRAM
Source: compiled
from Reserve Bank
of Australia, “Exchange
Rates,” Historical Data,
Statistics, 2014,
www.rba.gov.au/statistics/historical-data.html, accessed December 2, 2014.
Analyze the above given case study and answer the following
questions
(Be specific in your answers)
Q1:
What type of market structure is Toyota Australia operating? What are the
features of this market? What challenges does this market structure pose for
the company? ( 10 Marks)
Answer : Perfect competition, monopolistic
competition, oligopoly, and monopoly are the four forms of market structures.
This industry's marketing structure is oligopolistic, which is a blend of
competitive and monopolistic market structures. Oligopoly is a term used to
describe an industry in which just
Q2. What factors are affecting the profitability of Toyota
Australia? Which of these factors can the company control to improve
profitability? What strategy would you suggest to improve the profitability? (
10 Marks)
Answer : According to the current business
case, Toyota Australia is faced with a decision issue following General Motors
Holden's statement of its intention to depart the Australian automobile
manufacturing industry, despite rising losses mostly due to unfavourable
business and economic conditions. Toyota must now determine whether it wants to
remain Australia's lone car maker, hoping for an uptick in the currently
unfriendly economic and business conditions, or if it would be wiser to follow
Q3: Is Toyota
Australia operating at the optimum scale of operation? Should Toyota expand or
contract its scale of operation? What are the associated implications? (10
Marks)
Answer : An optimum firm is a firm that fully utilizes its scale of
operations and produces optimum output with the least cost per unit production.
In the short-run, a firm would build
the scale of the plant and operate it at a point where the average cost is at
its minimum. This is
Q4: What should Toyota do? Should it wait for
demand and cost conditions to improve, or should it exit the market? Give
reasons (10 Marks)
Answer : Toyota should stay in the
market. Its exit from the market would result in job losses not only for its
employees in the manufacturing unit but also for the subsidiaries supported by
Toyota manufacturing vehicle through the supply
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